Writing and published work
Andrew Maury, founder and data scientist at Rantum, builder of
ClearTrace. The work below is about one problem: a DEX trade settles on a shared
public ledger that gives the interface no way to announce who it was, so before anyone can grade
execution quality they have to recover where the trade actually came from. Everything here is
public, citable, and links to a primary source.
Research
open access, CC BY 4.0
PreprintZenodo, 6 August 2026doi:10.5281/zenodo.21828368
DEX volume is routinely read as a proxy for organic adoption by liquidity-mining programs, L2
foundations and grant committees, and it is a poor one. The paper sets out four independent
attribution heuristics that recover a trade's originating frontend from transaction data
(calldata suffix trapping, proxy-router detection, multi-hop origin tracing, and fee-recipient
clustering), the execution-quality framework that measures realized price against a
volume-weighted baseline, and the sampler evidence behind both. It is explicit about the
limitation that matters most: the attributable sample is biased, and the paper says which way.
Open datasetZenodo, versioneddoi:10.5281/zenodo.21089929
Median slippage against a one-minute VWAP baseline, router revert rates, and a slice by
originating frontend across Ethereum, Base, Arbitrum and Optimism. The frontend slice is the
dimension most public DEX datasets collapse. Free to use commercially with attribution, and
mirrored so nobody has to trust a single host.
Byline
written, not quoted
BylineConnectively, 3 September 2026
"On a single day in July, three numbers in my company's outbound material turned out to be
false."
Three failures that all cleared review, because review catches typos and not derivation: counting
database rows as though they were entities, publishing a limit of the instrument as a fact about
the market, and reading missing data as a finding. The argument is that a number is not checked
once and then true, so the checks belong in a script that runs again rather than in a person
reading the draft.
In the press
contributed commentary, quoted as a source
BlockTelegraph8 September 2026Managing Risk in Crypto and Forex Trading
"In our current sample, about 78,000 fork-verifiable quotes across eleven aggregators between
June 23 and August 25 this year, the most reliable venues fail on roughly half a percent of
them. The worst sits near 12%, about one quote in nine. Same tokens, same minute, same market."
On why cost and reliability are separate axes that often disagree, why failure rates move with
trade size in a way single-size testing hides completely, and the version of the test any desk
routing real volume can run on its own executions.
BlockTelegraph17 August 2026Disrupting Traditional Finance
"Because every DeFi trade settles on a public ledger, you can reconstruct the price a swap
received and benchmark it against a volume-weighted average at the moment it executed. You can
measure quote accuracy and MEV exposure per venue and per frontend, after the fact, without
trusting anyone's marketing."
Traditional finance pays for trade surveillance and best-execution reporting and it is still
largely opaque to the customer. The argument here is that the same accountability can be a
public good on-chain, computed from data anyone can audit, provided price fairness and
exposure to predatory ordering are kept as two scores rather than blended into one.
BlockTelegraph5 August 2026How Gamification Drives User Engagement
"Honestly, the most effective gamification in DeFi is also the best at fooling the people
running it. Points programs, liquidity mining, airdrop farming: they all light up the
dashboards. Then the rewards stop, and you find out how much of it was ever real."
A large share of incentive-program engagement is farmers, sybil wallets and bots wash-trading
to game the reward. The honest test is retention after the emissions stop, which is the
question ClearTrace was built to answer: how much of a program's volume genuinely originated
with users, and how much of it was paid for.
Open source
contributions to shared infrastructure
Dune SpellbookPR #9921, open since 4 August 2026
Router deployments that no public model decoded, so the flow through them was landing
unattributed in everyone's data, not just ours. The fix belongs upstream in the shared
spellbook rather than in a private query, which is where it was submitted. The pull request is
open and not yet merged.
Method notes
published on this site, updated with the data
cleartracedata.comongoing
Shorter write-ups that sit between the paper and the dashboard: how the execution-quality
numbers are actually computed and why there is no single score, what unattributed volume on
Base turned out to be, and how the quote sampler verifies a quote instead of trusting it.
Citation
for the paper
Maury, A. (2026). Cross-Frontend Attribution Methodologies in Decentralized Exchange Volume.
Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21828368
Andrew Maury, Rantum. Reach me at
andrew@cleartracedata.com or on
LinkedIn.